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Crown Green Handicap

Paul Woodward

Team: PoliceDivision: Division 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

803

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

58

Matches Played

21

Wins

37

Losses

36%

Win Rate

7.0

Avg Win Margin

7.3

Avg Loss Margin

10-17

Home Record

11-20

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
41 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 7/28/2026

A large recent sample: 41 matches in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 41-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins21/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 58 matches

+15 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

6 Jun15 Aug14 May23 Jul8 Apr21 Apr9 Jun28 Jul-14916

Gives 15 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
37%
score-0.27→contribution-0.11
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
7.5
score-0.08→contribution-0.02
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
6.2
score+0.31→contribution+0.05
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
35%
score-0.30→contribution-0.03
Opponent Strength(10%)
834
score-0.46→contribution-0.05
Weighted Score-0.156
Sample Size Confidence
100%(41/41 matches)
Rating953 → shrunk 953→ adjusted 803
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)803
Recency Blend40% (41 recent matches)
Final Rating803
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

21W37L58 matches·36.2% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Police2023–2026Division 258213736.2%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
7/28/2026David EvansH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 2
7/21/2026Arthur RobinsonA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 2
7/14/2026Neil JacksonH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
7/7/2026Ian ManchesterA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
6/30/2026Jim SowlerH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
6/23/2026Chris TarbuckA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
6/16/2026Bill MolyneuxH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
6/9/2026Simon ChurchillA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
6/2/2026Mark SweetA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
5/26/2026John DanielsH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
5/19/2026Andy KubiakA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
5/12/2026Kevin BlackH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
5/5/2026Paul LiptrotA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 2
4/28/2026Eddie WebsterH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
4/21/2026Jonathan FenneyA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
4/14/2026Nick BatesH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
4/7/2026David SuttonA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
5/20/2025Mike OxleyA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
5/13/2025Arthur RobinsonH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
5/6/2025Ken BibbyA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
4/15/2025Jason WalshH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
4/8/2025Frank TwissA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
9/3/2024B WhalleyH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 2
8/27/2024Robert ConnollyA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
8/26/2024Alan WrightA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 2
8/20/2024AbsentH21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision 2
8/6/2024Austin DavisH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
7/30/2024Bob AppletonH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
7/23/2024Antony JohnsonA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 2
7/2/2024Ian McBrideH6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 2
6/25/2024Terry KellyA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
6/18/2024B MurphyH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2
6/11/2024Bill ArnoldA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
6/4/2024Garry CarrH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
5/28/2024Ron VizardA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
5/21/2024Stuart BrandA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 2
5/14/2024Antony JohnsonH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 2
5/7/2024Stuart BloxhamA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
4/23/2024Ian ManchesterA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
4/16/2024Chris TarbuckH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
4/9/2024B WhalleyA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
9/5/2023D WoodsH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
8/29/2023R Cash (Jnr)A21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
8/22/2023John CorlessH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
8/15/2023David SuttonH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
8/8/2023D FrenchA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
8/1/2023Craig BrandH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
7/25/2023John CooperA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
7/11/2023D TabernerA2-21LOSS-19LeagueDivision 2
7/4/2023Kevin ParrH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
6/27/2023Ken LethbridgeA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
6/20/2023Tony PilkingtonH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2
6/6/2023Antony JohnsonA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
5/30/2023Harry OrrettH7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 2
5/9/2023Joseph KnocktonA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 2
4/25/2023Phil MillingtonA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 2
4/18/2023Neil FitzsimonH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
4/11/2023D WoodsA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2

Current Streak

2losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

2

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

5

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
LLWLW
Last 1040% win rate— steady
LLWLWLLWWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Antony Johnson21366.7%7/23/2024
Arthur Robinson0220%7/21/2026
Ian Manchester0220%7/7/2026
Chris Tarbuck11250%6/23/2026
David Sutton11250%4/7/2026
B Whalley0220%9/3/2024
D Woods11250%9/5/2023
David Evans0110%7/28/2026
Neil Jackson101100%7/14/2026
Jim Sowler101100%6/30/2026
Biggest Win
Absent (+21)8/20/2024
Heaviest Defeat
D Taberner (-19)7/11/2023
Best Season
202437% · 19 matches
Worst Season
202335% · 17 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
34% → 38%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
84658 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-50% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
21-3240% win rate
Division 236.2%
21W·37L·58 played

Debut

Apr 11, 2023

Latest

Jul 28, 2026

Seasons Active

4 (3.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

14.5 (58 total)

Seasons

2023202420252026